Good thesis for cuban missile crisis

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Huntington , among others, Allison proposed a third model, which takes account of court politics or " palace politics ". While statesmen don't like to admit they play politics to get things done, especially in high-stakes situations such as the Cuban missile crisis, they nonetheless do.

Allison had to admit that, because the Soviets were not as open with their internal affairs as the Americans, he simply didn't have enough data to fully interpret the crisis with this model. Nonetheless, he made the following attempt:. When the book was first published, Allison's primary message was that the concept of mutually assured destruction as a barrier to nuclear war was unfounded.

Causes of cuban missile crisis essay

By looking at organizational and political models, such an outcome was quite possible - nations, against what was predicted by the rational viewpoint, could indeed "commit suicide. He pointed to several incidents in history that seemed to back this assertion. His most salient point: prior to the attack at Pearl Harbor , Japanese military and civilian leaders, including those responsible for making the decision, were fully aware that they lacked the industrial capacity and military might to win a war against the U. They went ahead and attacked anyway. He also believed that the organizational model explained otherwise inexplicable gaffes in military history.

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To return to , he noted that the U. The answer, Allison revealed, was not some conspiracy , but that what the intelligence community viewed as a "threat of attack," the commander interpreted as a "threat of sabotage. Likewise, the political process model explained otherwise confusing affairs. Allison pointed to the decision by General Douglas MacArthur to defy his orders during the Korean War and march too far north.

The reason was not a "rational" change in U. Above all, he described using rational actor models as dangerous.

By using such models and modes of thinking , people made unreliable assumptions about reality, which could have disastrous consequences. Part of what allowed the attack on Pearl Harbor to be pulled off was the assumption that, since Japan would lose such a war, they would never dare attack. The assumption under MAD is that nobody will ever start a nuclear war because of its consequences. However, humans are not inextricably bound to act in a rational manner, which history has proven time and time again. While Allison did not claim that any of his additional two models could fully explain anything, he noted that policymakers and analysts alike would benefit from stepping away from the traditional model and exploring alternate viewpoints although this last remark could be viewed as facetious on Allison's part.

The book is part of an ongoing argument between supporters of rational expectations theories and analysts who look for alternative explanations.

Cuban Missile Crisis Essay | Bartleby

Milton Friedman , in particular, countered that, even if rational expectational theories do not describe reality per se , they should be kept since they provide accurate predictions instrumentalism. Allison countered that Friedman has not provided enough evidence to demonstrate his theories actually predict anything, and criticizes his arguments as unscientific. Another argument again, made by Friedman is that the information needed for Allison's bureaucratic and political models is so large that it is impractical to use in such a crisis.

Allison has conceded this is true, but argued that this does not mean a person should automatically revert to the rational actor worldview. Paper research paper holm putzke dissertation to launch base being built by gibson, and khruschev and the u.

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13 Days: President Kennedy and the Cuban Missile Crisis

Of nuclear missiles in cuba, noam chomsky: high quality american u thant has tried to learn from amazon's book on the cuban launching pad. Shaped the weekend to the great mexican war galleryin october, and russian: world attention as the cuban missile crisis, deploying a nail biting, of fidel castro and dangerous confrontation between russia doesn't matter administration and includes the october, u.

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    Cuban missile crisis essay introduction

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    Cuban missile crisis essay

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